PM at NOON Chapter Event April 15^th, 2026, Noon – 1PM CT

A link to the meeting will be emailed with your registration confirmation.

Speaker Name: Fred Deichler

Presentation Title: The Math of Predictability, Answering "When will it be done?" with confidence

Speaker Bio:

Fred is a technology leader with over 20 years of experience helping teams navigate change, improve collaboration, and deliver value. He believes growth is an ongoing journey, both for teams and individuals, and has always championed learning, iteration, and adaptability. Whether leading teams through transformation or refining his own approach, Fred is passionate about helping others discover the small, intentional actions that lead to lasting success.

Presentation Description:

Project managers are tired of being the messengers of "late." Whether you are running a traditional Waterfall project or a high-velocity Agile team, the stakeholders’ primary demand remains the same: a delivery date they can actually trust. Stop guessing with story points and start leveraging the math of predictability. In this remote, interactive session, we move beyond "gut feel" to explore Evidence-Based Management (EBM) and Monte Carlo simulations. You will learn how to turn historical flow metrics into a probabilistic forecast that accounts for risk and variability. We will simulate real-world delivery using a dice-based Monte Carlo exercise to show exactly how WIP limits and innovation rates impact your ability to finish what you start

To sign up for the event, go to our menu calendar, click on the event you would like to register for and go to the bottom of the page to register as an individual  https://pmi-milwaukee.org/calendar

To claim your PDU after the event (the link works) consult 
https://pmi-milwaukee.org/static/uploaded/Files/Documents/How_to_claim_one_PDU_for_a_chapter_event_-_revised_in_March_2022.pdf

For any question before or after the event, please contact speakerscommittee@pmi-milwaukee.org